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Bitcoin DiscussionCME to start trading futures of Bitcoin

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CME to start trading futures of Bitcoin

Postby Ultimatebtc » Sun Dec 10, 2017 2:14 am

The intersection of digital money and traditional finance is at 400 South LaSalle Street in Chicago this weekend. That’s where trading in bitcoin futures opens Sunday evening (10th Dec 2017), as the first major U.S. exchange offers a product pegged to the wildly fluctuating cryptocurrency.

The currency has risen more than 1,500 percent this year, and about 85 percent just in the past two weeks, driven largely by demand from individual investors. But even as bitcoin -- launched in 2009 as an alternative to banks -- divides Wall Street executives and central bankers worldwide, those kinds of gains are a powerful magnet.

The futures offered by Cboe Global Markets Inc., and similar contracts that start trading in a week at at another Chicago-based exchange, CME Group Inc., may open the door to greater inflows of institutional money, while also making it easier to bet on bitcoin’s decline. Either way, it’s likely trading will start slowly, said Mike Novogratz, chief executive officer of Galaxy Investment Partners, which is raising a crypto hedge fund targeted at $500 million.

“If people have expectations that it’s going to have huge liquidity on day one, they’re just wrong,” Novogratz said Thursday in Toronto. “It’s going to take a while to build liquidity. People need to go through at least one cycle to figure out how it settles.”


Derivatives trading is the culmination of a wild year for bitcoin, which captured imaginations and investment around the world, propelled by its stratospheric gains, and its anti-establishment mission as a currency without the backing of a government or a central bank, and a payment system without a reliance on banks. The derivatives contracts should thrust bitcoin more squarely into the realm of regulators, banks and institutional investors. In addition to the contracts at Cboe and CME, which will start trading Dec. 18, Cantor Fitzgerald LP won approval from regulators to trade binary options, and LedgerX, a startup exchange, already trades bitcoin options.

“There will be a ramp-up time,” said Ari Paul, chief investment officer of Blocktower Capital Advisors LP. “There just isn’t a rush. The professional traders will mostly be looking to do arbitrage, between the futures and bitcoin itself. I don’t expect massive money flows right away but then I expect gradual buying from people who want passive exposure” without buying bitcoin directly.

The two exchanges on Dec. 1 got permission to offer the contracts after pledging to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission that the products don’t run afoul of the law, in a process called self-certification.

“Derivatives should have the effect of bringing a deeper liquidity to the market which should reduce volatility,” said Alistair Milne, chief investment officer and co-founder of Altana Digital Currency Fund that is based in Monaco. “As the whole cryptocurrency economy gets bigger the volatility should reduce.”

But not everyone is convinced it’s a good idea. On Dec. 6, the Futures Industry Association -- a group of major banks, brokers and traders -- said the contracts were rushed without enough consideration of the risks. Last month, Thomas Peterffy, the billionaire chairman of Interactive Brokers Group Inc., wrote an open letter to CFTC Chairman J. Christopher Giancarlo, arguing that bitcoin’s large price swings mean its futures contracts shouldn’t be allowed on platforms that clear other derivatives.

Still, Interactive Brokers will offer its customers access to the futures, though with greater restrictions. They won’t be able to go short -- betting that prices will decline -- and Interactive’s margin requirement, or how much investors have to set aside as collateral, will be at least 50 percent. That’s higher than either Cboe’s or CME’s margin requirements.

Cboe’s futures are cash-settled and based on the Gemini auction price for bitcoin in U.S. dollars. The exchange plans to impose trading limits to curb volatility, halting trading for two minutes if prices rise or fall 10 percent, and a five-minute halt kicks in at 20 percent. Margins for Cboe bitcoin futures, which will be cleared by Options Clearing Corp., will be at 40 percent or higher.

Cboe’s futures market is a niche player in derivatives trading, which could limit how many contracts change hands in the initial days. Fueled by contracts on the VIX, the Cboe Futures Exchange handled 56 million contracts during the first three quarters of 2017, according to data compiled by the Futures Industry Association, the industry’s trade and lobbying group. CME traded 3.1 billion contracts in the same period.

Some traders also will prefer CME contracts over Cboe’s because they’re based off four exchanges, instead of just one, reducing risk of disruptions because of outages, attacks or price manipulations.

The smaller Cboe does have an advantage over CME Group, however, because it’s a major player in stock and equity options trading, giving it access to broker-dealers and investors who may not trade on CME.

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Re: CME to start trading futures of Bitcoin

Postby Ultimatebtc » Sun Dec 10, 2017 2:22 am

Another video of a Q&A with Andreas Antonopoulos, a long time supporter and advocate of Bitcoin, https://youtu.be/o7TtwckPCUI

Several key takeaways from the video:
  1. Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is a 200yr institute for risk management and known mainly for commodity trading for the producers of the product.
  2. 7% break circuit (if price of bitcoin swings either way). <= this is less volatility than the actual bitcoin market now. so based on current volatility, the bitcoin future CME will have to break at least 3 times in a day!
  3. Expect more volume.
  4. Supposed to smooth out volatility in the prices.
  5. Miners are the main group shorting (less risk, rather than naked short), basically more to hedge their costs at a certain price.
Your comments and views on what to expect please.
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Re: CME to start trading futures of Bitcoin

Postby Ultimatebtc » Sun Dec 10, 2017 2:32 am

Personally in my opinion, it should be the same like CME. Basically these traditional trading firms DON"T TRADE BITCOINS. They sell short and long positions and match it. so by right, it just makes those traders (stocks, commodity) mainstream guys able to use their assets / capital to "play" with the prices in the derivatives market.


Cboe Bitcoin Futures Announcement

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) announced today that the Cboe Futures Exchange (CFE) has filed a product certification with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to offer bitcoin futures trading. The product certification is subject to regulatory review. The impending launch date for Cboe bitcoin futures, which will trade on CFE under the ticker symbol 'XBT', will be announced shortly.

Conceptually, forwards or futures contracts have existed since the time of the Babylonian empire. Ancient Greeks managed price volatility for olive oil with an early incarnation of a futures contract. More contemporaneously (2004), CFE introduced VIX futures which provides a pure play on implied volatility and may be an effective way to hedge equity portfolio risk. Thirteen years later, "volatility" is considered an asset class.

Bitcoin futures will blend an age old idea with a far more recent concept, that of a "cryptocurrency". The CFE brings together buyers and sellers in a highly regulated environment which promotes participation, transparency, competition, and efficient price discovery.

Futures markets traditionally offer far greater liquidity than the spot or cash market. Futures markets also do not discriminate directionally. In other words, capital requirements (margins) for long and short exposure are identical. Furthermore, futures markets are leveraged which can improve capital efficiencies. However, leverage in inappropriate for some investors and the risk associated with it must be understood.

As mentioned, bitcoin futures will trade under the symbol XBT and each contract is equal to one bitcoin. The contract size is equal to a single bitcoin which allows for easy hedging of bitcoin positions.

The creation of bitcoin futures was in response to demand from sophisticated, professional customers. Cboe teamed up with Gemini Trust Company LLC, which is a digital asset exchange and custodian which was found in 2014. Cboe was attracted to Gemini Trust as a partner in this venture because Gemini is subject to fiduciary obligations, capital reserve requirements, and banking compliance standards of the New York State Department of Financial Services.

As noted the underlying ticker will be XBT and the ticker to see the contract settlement values is XBTS. The contract multiplier will be 1 so if a contract is trading at parity with bitcoin it will be worth about $9000 based on current pricing. The minimum tick for a directional, non-spread trade is 10 points or $10. A spread trade will have a much smaller tick of 0.01 bitcoin or $0.01.

Several expirations may be listed. Standard, or monthly, contracts may be listed to expire for three continuous months and farther out for months on the March expiration cycle (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec). There may also be up to four serial weekly expirations. Standard (think monthly) contracts will expire on the 2nd business day before the third Friday of the month which typically will be a Wednesday.

Trading hours run from Sunday night at 5:00 pm to Friday afternoon at 3:15 pm. Specifically, the extended trading hours (ETH) session starts Sunday at 5:00 pm and ends Monday at 8:30 am with the ETH sessions for the rest of the week (Tuesday – Friday) consisting of opening at 3:30 pm the day before and ending at 8:30 am. Regular trading hours are Monday – Friday from 8:30 am to 3:15 pm, just like the VIX futures. All these time periods are Chicago time.

http://www.cboe.com/blogs/options-hub/2 ... nouncement
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